New Technology Adoption in an Innovative Marketplace: Micro- and Macro- Level Decision Making Models, International Journal of Forecasting
Innovative markets are those which are undergoing rapid development due to changing customer needs or improving technological capability. Because these markets are so dynamic, new products are introduced frequently, and there is a high degree of uncertainty regarding their potential for success. We review literature relevant to firm decision-making, including such topics as timing the adoption of a technological innovation, determining optimal spending on an innovative technology, and predicting the success of a class of products which are based on a particular innovative technology. We consider these problems both at the micro (individual firm) and macro (aggregate) levels.
Coughlan, Anne. 1991. New Technology Adoption in an Innovative Marketplace: Micro- and Macro- Level Decision Making Models. International Journal of Forecasting. 7(3): 257-270.