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Journal Article
Definitions of Ambiguous Events and the Smooth Ambiguity Model
Economic Theory
Author(s)
We examine a variety of preference-based definitions of ambiguous events in the context
of the smooth ambiguity model. We first consider the definition proposed in Klibanoff,
Marinacci, and Mukerji (2005) based on the classic Ellsberg two-urn paradox (Ellsberg
(1961)), and show that it satisfies several desirable properties. We then compare this
definition with those of Nehring (1999), Epstein and Zhang (2001), Zhang (2002) and
Ghirardato and Marinacci (2002). Within the smooth ambiguity model, we show that
Ghirardato and Marinacci (2002) would identify the same set of ambiguous and unambiguous events as our definition while Epstein and Zhang (2001) and Zhang (2002) would
yield a different classification. Moreover, we discuss and formally identify two key sources
of the differences compared to Epstein and Zhang (2001) and Zhang (2002). The more
interesting source is that these two definitions can confound non-constant ambiguity attitude and the ambiguity of an event.
Date Published:
2011
Citations:
Klibanoff, Peter, Massimo Marinacci, Sujoy Mukerji. 2011. Definitions of Ambiguous Events and the Smooth Ambiguity Model. Economic Theory. (2-3)399-424.