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Research Details
Parametric Inference and Dynamic State Recovery from Option Panels, Econometrica
Abstract
We develop a new parametric estimation procedure for option panels observed with error which relies on asymptotic approximations assuming an ever increasing set of observed option prices in the moneyness-maturity (cross-sectional) dimension, but with a fixed time span. We develop consistent estimators of the parameter vector and the dynamic realization of the state vector that governs the option price dynamics. The estimators converge stably to a mixed-Gaussian law and we develop feasible estimators for the limiting variance. We provide semi-parametric tests for the option price dynamics based on the distance between the spot volatility extracted from the options and the one obtained non-parametrically from high-frequency data on the underlying asset. We further construct new formal tests of the model fit for specific regions of the volatility surface and for the stability of the risk-neutral dynamics over a given period of time.
Type
Article
Author(s)
Torben Andersen, Nicola Fusari, Viktor Todorov
Date Published
2015
Citations
Andersen, Torben, Nicola Fusari, and Viktor Todorov. 2015. Parametric Inference and Dynamic State Recovery from Option Panels. Econometrica. 83(3): 1081-1145.