Five Predictions about US Higher Education in 2040

Prediction #1: 50% of U.S. college degrees will be awarded to students who have spent three years or less on a college campus. Prediction 2: Up to 500 private colleges and universities offering 4-year degrees will close. Prediction #3: The for-profit market for college education will continue to rebound and account for 20% or more of college credits (not degrees) provided each year. Prediction #4: College admissions at highly ranked schools will become both more transparent and even more in-demand. These school will respond by altering their offerings. Prediction #5: Hundreds of former college campuses will be bought by companies operating for-profit education, senior living facilities, etc. — whether it be private equity owners, Chinese investors or other financially oriented sponsors.