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Author(s)

Timothy Calkins

Nayna Aggarwal

This case looks at an important business task: forecasting a new product. The case can be used to teach finance, marketing (new product introduction), and healthcare strategy. The product is one of Amgen's most important new products: denosumab. On the surface, the case is fairly easy; students simply have to do some simple mathematical calculations. However, the challenges of forecasting quickly become apparent; every forecast depends on some critical assumptions and the answer can vary dramatically.

Date Published: 07/01/2011
Discipline: Finance;Marketing
Key Concepts: Forecasting, Pharmaceuticals, Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing, Cancer Treatment, Healthcare, Marketing Firm, Biotechnology, Drug Patents
Citations: Calkins, Timothy, Nayna Aggarwal. Forecasting Denosumab. 5-111-004 (KEL531).