Rare Disasters, Financial Development, and Sovereign Debt (with Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang)
Should Robots be Taxed (with Joao Guerreiro and Pedro Teles)
The Portuguese Crisis and the IMF (with Martin Eichenbaum and Carlos Resende) in M. Schwartz and S. Takagi (eds.) Background Papers for The IMF and the Crises in The IMF and the Crises in Greece, Ireland, and Portugal, International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Carry Trade and Momentum in Currency Markets (April 2011, with Craig Burnside and Martin Eichenbaum), Annual Review of Financial Economics, 2011. Data for payoffs to carry trade and momentum is available here.
Do Peso Problems Explain the Returns to the Carry Trade? (Craig Burnside, Martin Eichenbaum, and Isaac Kleshchelski), Review of Financial Studies, 2011.
Can News about the Future Drive the Business Cycle? (September 2008, with Nir Jaimovich), American Economic Review, 2009.
Understanding the Forward Premium Puzzle: A Microstructure Approach (with Craig Burnside and Martin Eichenbaum), American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2008.
When Is it Optimal to Abandon a Fixed Exchange Rate? (with Carlos Vegh ) Review of Economic Studies, 2008.
The Returns to Currency Speculation in Emerging Markets (2007, with Craig Burnside, and Martin Eichenbaum), American Economic Review, 2007.
Modeling Exchange Rate Passthrough After Large Devaluations (with Ariel Burstein and Martin Eichenbaum), Journal of Monetary Economics, 2006.
How Important Are Nontradable Goods Prices As Sources of Cyclical Fluctuations in Real Exchange Rates? (with Ariel Burstein and Martin Eichenbaum), Japan and the World Economy, 2006.
Real Business Cycle Models: Past, Present and Future, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2005.
Currency Crises and Fiscal Sustainability (with Craig Burnside and Martin Eichenbaum) in Craig Burnside (ed.) Fiscal Sustainability in Theory and Practice: A Handbook, Washington, DC: World Bank, 2005.
Investment Prices and Exchange Rates: Some Basic Facts (with Ariel Burstein and Joao C. Neves), Journal of the European Economic Association, 2004.
Government Guarantees and Self-Fulfilling Speculative Attacks (with Craig Burnside and Martin Eichenbaum ) Journal of Economic Theory, 2004. (Technical Appendix )
Distribution Costs and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics During Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilizations (with Ariel Burstein and Joao C. Neves ), Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003.
Production, Growth and Business Cycles: Technical Appendix , (with Robert King and Charles Plosser ), Computational Economics, 2002.
Prospective Deficits and the Asian Currency Crises (with Craig Burnside and Martin Eichenbaum ), Journal of Political Economy, 2001.
Hedging and Financial Fragility in Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes (with Craig Burnside and Martin Eichenbaum) European Economic Review, June 2001.
The Role of Knowledge and Capital in Economic Growth in Matti Pohjola (ed.) Information Technology and Economic Development , Wider, United Nations, 2000.
“What Caused the Recent Asian
Currency Crises?,” (with C. Burnside, and M. Eichenbaum),
“On the Optimality of Interest Rate Smoothing,” (with D. Xie), Journal of Monetary Economics, 43: 263-282, 1999.
“Sectoral Solow Residuals,” (with C. Burnside and M. Eichenbaum) European Economic Review, 40: 861-869, April 1996. Download here an updated version of the data set
“On the Determinants of Economic
Growth,” Holger Wolff (ed.) Proceedings of 1995 World
Stabilizations: An Analysis of Competing Theories,” (with C. Vegh),
“Capital Utilization and Returns to Scale,” (with C. Burnside and M. Eichenbaum), NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1995, 67-110.
“Growth Effects of Flat-Rate Taxes,” (with N. Stokey), Journal of Political Economy, 103: 519-550, June 1995.
“Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy,” (with I. Correia and J. Neves), European Economic Review, 39: 1089-1113, 1995.
“Policy, Technology Adoption and Growth,” (with W. Easterly, R. Levine and R. King), in R. Solow and L. Pasinetti (eds.) Economic Growth and the Structure of Long Term Development, MacMillan, London, 1994.
“Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation,” (with W. Easterly), Journal of Monetary Economics, 32: 417-458, December 1993.
“Inflation in Fixed Exchange Rate
Regimes: The Recent Portuguese Experience,” in F. Torres
“Transitional Dynamics and Economic
Growth in the Neoclassical Model,” (with R. King),
“Labor Hoarding and the Business
Cycle,” (with C. Burnside and M. Eichenbaum), Journal of
“Marginal Income Tax Rates and Economic Growth in Developing Countries,” (with W. Easterly), European Economic Review, 37: 409-417, 1993.
“Low Frequency Filtering and Real
Business Cycles,” (with R. King), Journal of Economic
“Business Cycles 1850-1950: New
Facts about Old Data,” (with I. Correia and J. Neves)
“Growth in Open Economies,” Carnegie-Rochester Series on Public Policy, 36: 5-46, 1992.
“Business Cycles in Portugal: Theory
and Evidence,” (with I. Correia and J. Neves), in Amaral,
“Long Run Policy Analysis and Long Run Growth,” Journal of Political Economy, June 1991, 99: 500-521.
“Public Policy and Economic Growth:
Developing Neoclassical Implications,” (with R. King),
“Production, Growth and Business Cycles I: The Basic Neoclassical Model,” (with R. King and C. Plosser) Journal of Monetary Economics, March/May ,1988, 21: 195-232.
“Production, Growth and Business
Cycles II: New Directions,” (with R. King and C. Plosser)