WASHINGTON -- Before Michigan voters sign a petition to
limit the annual growth in state spending, opponents want
them to know that such measures have a history -- and
it's not necessarily pretty.
A report released Thursday by the Washington-based Center on
Budget and Policy Priorities, a liberal advocacy group,
concludes that a similar referendum adopted by Colorado
voters in 1992 -- known as the Taxpayer Bill of Rights or
TABOR -- stifled that state's economic growth and
drained revenues from state coffers.
"Any short-term gain that was correlated with the passage of TABOR
in the first five years after TABOR was adopted was completely wiped
out and partially reversed for the long term," said Therese McGuire,
a Northwestern University economist and the report's co-author.
"TABOR has not had a positive effect on Colorado's economy."
If the Michigan initiative makes it to the ballot and is
approved by voters in November, it would limit the annual
growth in state spending to a formula based on the growth in
the state's population and the inflation rate.
Any revenues collected that exceed spending limits would be
split equally between taxpayers and the state's rainy
day fund, a feature not included in the Colorado amendment.
The rainy day fund would be capped at 10 percent of the
state's annual budget or about $2.7 billion.
"The Michigan (amendment) is more flexible," said
Kurt O'Keefe, spokesman for the Michigan Stop
Overspending (SOS) Committee, which is behind the petition
drive. "It puts boundaries up, and then it asks the
state to operate within the limits. To me, it's a
confidence question. Do we have faith in the people to make
decisions about the size of government? Or do we have faith
in the state?"
The SOS Committee has until July 10 to file 317,757
signatures with the Secretary of State's office, which
will determine whether there are sufficient signatures to
place the question on the fall ballot.
Another section of the proposed ballot initiative would
prevent state lawmakers from collecting a state-funded
pension if they are elected after January 2007. They would
be eligible for a a self-funded 401(k).
Backers of the petition drive say the Colorado
constitutional amendment returned millions of dollars to
taxpayers and businesses over the last decade and boosted
that state's economy, adding that Colorado is doing far
better than Michigan. For example, they point to the fact
that Colorado's unemployment rate in January was 4.7
percent compared with Michigan's 6.2 percent.
"Colorado got hit with a record drought and the
demolition of its tech bubble in the early part of this
century, and it's still managed to recover from
it," said Ken Braun, an analyst with the Mackinac
Center for Public Policy, a free-market policy group in
Midland.
The report concedes that Colorado might have benefited from
TABOR in the 1990s, but its fortunes changed once the
economy turned sour after 2000. The TABOR restrictions
forced some tough budget choices. Over the last 14 years,
Colorado dropped from 35th to 49th in the nation in K-12
education spending as a percentage of personal income, the
report noted.
In response to budget concerns, last November Colorado
voters suspended TABOR for five years, postponing the annual
taxpayer refunds to increase the amount of revenue available
for state programs.
Opponents say Michigan already has a protection built into
the state Constitution. In 1978, taxpayers approved a
constitutional amendment limiting state revenue collections
to 9.49 percent of the state's personal income.
"We have a revenue limit called the Headlee
Amendment," said Sharon Parks, a spokeswoman for the
Michigan League for Human Services, an advocacy group for
the poor. "We are currently $5.8 billion below our
limit. Headlee is working fine in Michigan. We don't
need this."
Three states -- Maine, Ohio and Oklahoma -- already have Colorado-like spending
limits before voters this fall. Another eight states, including
Michigan, have petition drives under way.