Nabil Al-Najjar
Nabil Al-Najjar

MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS & DECISION SCIENCES
John L. and Helen Kellogg Professor of Managerial Economics & Decision Sciences

Print Overview
Research Page

Nabil Al-Najjar is a Professor of Managerial Economics and Decision Sciences and chair of the MEDS department. He serves on the editorial boards of the Journal of Mathematical Economics and the International Journal of Game Theory.

Al-Najjar’s research focuses on the development of learning-based models of decision making in markets, games and contracts. His papers have been published in top scholarly journals such the Journal of Economic Theory, Games and Economic Behavior, and the RAND Journal of Economics, among others.

For his excellence in teaching, Al-Najjar has twice been the recipient of the school’s Sidney J. Levy Award, in 1996-97 for his class in microeconomics, and 2006-07 for his class in competitive strategy. He has received the Chairs’ Core Teaching Award for his class in microeconomics.

Al-Najjar received his PhD in Economics from the University of Minnesota. Prior to joining the Kellogg faculty in 1995, he was a faculty member at the University of Québec in Montreal.



Areas of Expertise
Behavioral Economics
Game Theory

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Print Vita
Education
PhD, 1989, Economics, University of Minnesota
MA, 1982, Economics, University of Ottawa
BA, 1979, Economics, Al-Mustansiriah University

Academic Positions
Professor, Managerial Economics & Decision Sciences, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, 1995-present
Professor, University of Quebec, 1989-1995

Grants and Awards
Certificate of Impact, Northwestern University, Decision Making and Modeling, 2012, 2013

Editorial Positions
Editorial Board, International Journal of Game Theory, 2003-2009
Editorial Board, Journal of Mathematical Economics, 1996-2010

Print Research
Research Interests
Decision theory, learning, game theory

Articles
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Luciano Pomatto. Forthcoming. Measuring Aggregate Risks. Theory and Decision. 1
Al-Najjar, Nabil, Luciano Pomatto and Alvaro Sandroni. 2014. Merging and testing opinions. Annals of Statistics. 42(3): 1003-1028.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Luciano de Castro. 2014. Parametric Representation of Preferences. Journal of Economic Theory. 150: 642-67-86.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Mallesh M. Pai. 2014. Coarse Decision-Making and Overfitting. Journal of Economic Theory. 150: 467-486.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Eran Shmaya. Forthcoming. Uncertainty and Disagreement in Equilibrium Models. Journal of Political Economy.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. Forthcoming. A Bayesian Framework for Precautionary Policies. Journal of Legal Studies.
Al-Najjar, Nabil, Luciano Pomatto and Alvaro Sandroni. 2014. Claim Validation. American Economic Review. 104(11): 3725-3736.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Alvaro Sandroni. 2013. A Difficulty in the Testing of Strategic Experts. Mathematical Social Sciences. 65(1): 5-9.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Jonathan Lewis Weinstein. Forthcoming. A Bayesian Model of Knightian Uncertainty. Theory and Decision. 78: 1-22.
Al-Najjar, NabilAlvaro Sandroni, Rann Smorodinsky and Jonathan Lewis Weinstein. 2010. Testing Theories with Learnable and Predictive Representations. Journal of Economic Theory. 145(6): 2203–2217.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 2009. Decision Makers as Statisticians: Diversity, Ambiguity and Learning. Econometrica. 77: 1371-1401.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Jonathan Lewis Weinstein. 2009. The Ambiguity Aversion Literature: A Critical Assessment. Economics and Philosophy. 25: 249-284.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 2008. Large Games and the Law of Large Numbers. Games and Economic Behavior. 64: 1-34.
Al-Najjar, NabilSandeep Baliga and David Besanko. 2008. Market Forces and Behavioral Biases: Cost-Misallocation and Irrational Pricing. RAND Journal of Economics. 39(1): 214-237.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Jonathan Lewis Weinstein. 2008. Comparative Testing of Experts. Econometrica. 76(3): 541-559.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 2007. Finitely Additive Representation of Lp Spaces. Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications. 330(12): 891-899.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Rann Smorodinsky. 2005. The Efficiency of Competitive Mechanisms under Private Information. Journal of Economic Theory. 137(1): 383-403.
Al-Najjar, Nabil, Luca Anderlini and Leonardo Felli. 2006. Undescribable Events. Review of Economic Studies. 73(4): 849-868.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 2004. Aggregation and the Law of Large Numbers in Large Economies. Games and Economic Behavior. 47(1): 1-35.
Al-Najjar, Nabil, Ramon Casadesus-Masanell and Emre Ozdenoren. 2003. Probabilistic Representation of Complexity. Journal of Economic Theory. 111(1): 49-87.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Rann Smorodinsky. 2001. Large Non-Anonymous Repeated Games. Games and Economic Behavior. 37(1): 26-39.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 2001. A Reputational Model of Authority. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization. 46(2): 165-191.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Rann Smorodinsky. 2000. Pivotal Players and the Characterization of Influence. Journal of Economic Theory. 92(2): 318-342.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Rann Smorodinsky. 2000. Provision of Public Goods with Bounded Project Costs. Economics Letters. 67(3): 297-301.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 1999. On the Robustness of Factor Structures to Asset Repackaging. Journal of Mathematical Economics. 31(3): 309-320.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 1998. Factor Analysis and Arbitrage Pricing in Large Asset Economies. Journal of Economic Theory. 78(2): 231-262.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 1997. Incentive Contracts in Two-Sided Moral Hazards with Multiple Agents. Journal of Economic Theory. 74(1): 174-195.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 1996. Strategically Stable Equilibria in Games with Infinitely Many Pure Strategies. Mathematical Social Sciences. 31(1): 50.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 1995. Decomposition and Characterization of Risk with a Continuum of Random Variables: Corrigendum. Econometrica. 67(4): 919-920.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 1995. Incomplete Contracts and the Governance of Complex Contractual Relationships. American Economic Review, Papers & Proceedings. 85(2): 432-436.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 1995. Reputation, Product Quality and Warranties. Journal of Economics & Management Strategy. 3(4): 605-637.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 1995. A Theory of Forward Induction in Finitely Repeated Games. Theory and Decision. 38(2): 173-193.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 1993. Non-Transitive Smooth Preferences. Journal of Economic Theory. 60(1): 14-41.
Working Papers
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Luciano Pomatto. 2014. Aggregative Utility in Large Populations.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 2014. This Time is Different.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Luciano de Castro. 2013. Ergodic Theory without Probability.
Al-Najjar, Nabil, Luca Anderlini and Leonardo Felli. 2013. Complexity and Undescribability.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Luciano de Castro. 2009. A Subjective Foundation of Objective Probabilities.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Ramon Casadesus-Masanell. 2004. Descretion in Agency Contracts.
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Chris Forman. 2000. Reciprocal Exchange in Agency.
Al-Najjar, Nabil. 2000. Complexity as a Barrier to Competitive Imitation.
Book Chapters
Al-Najjar, Nabil, Luca Anderlini and Leonardo Felli. Forthcoming. "Incomplete Contracts, Mechanism Design and Complexity." In The Impact of Incomplete Contracts on Economics, edited by P. Aghion, M. Dewatripont, P. Legros, L. Zingales, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
de Castro, Luciano and Nabil Al-Najjar. 2011. "Subjective Probability." In Wiley's Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science, edited by James Cochran et al., Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.
Cases
Al-Najjar, NabilSandeep Baliga and Chris Forman. 2004. Steel Wars: A Battle for the Future of American Steel. Case 5-204-256 (KEL002).
Al-Najjar, NabilDavid Besanko and Amit Nag. 2004. California Power Crisis. Case 5-403-759 (KEL004).
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Simone Galperti. 2010. Argentina Currency Peg and Fiscal Reforms (A). Case 5-110-004(A) (KEL569).
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Ali Malik. 2005. U.S. Credit Card Industry. Case 5-205-256 (KEL152).
Al-Najjar, NabilSandeep Baliga and Chris Forman. 2004. Sugar Daddy: Quotas and the U.S. Government. Case 5-204-255 (KEL001).
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Neil Pardasani. 2006. U.S. Automotive Retailing: 1995–2002 (B). Case 5-106-003(B) (KEL201).
Al-Najjar, Nabil, Ichiro Aoyagi, Guy Goldstein, Ted Korupp, Bin Liu and Suchet Singh. 2006. Boeing and Airbus: Competitive Strategy in the Very Large Aircraft Market. Case 5-404-759 (KEL022).
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Neil Pardasani. 2006. U.S. Automotive Retailing: 1995–2002 (A). Case 5-106-003(A) (KEL200).
Al-Najjar, Nabil and David Besanko. 2004. Motorola in the Wireless Handset Market. Case 5-204-261 (KEL023).
Al-Najjar, NabilDavid Besanko and Robert Uchoa. 2004. Credit Solicitations as Market Experiments in the U.S. Credit Card Industry. Case 5-204-252 (KEL005).
Al-Najjar, Nabil and Neil Pardasani. 2006. U.S. Automotive Retailing: 1995–2002 (C). Case 5-106-003(C) (KEL202).
Al-Najjar, Nabil, Dershan Desai and Steven Hallaway. 2006. Satellite Radio: An Industry Case Study. Case 5-206-255 (KEL203).

 
Print Teaching
Teaching Interests
Microeconomics, macroeconomics, competitive strategy, commodity industries, decision theory
Full-Time / Part-Time MBA
Decision Making and Modeling (DECS-450-0)
This course presents a normative approach to making decisions in one's personal and professional life. The first half of the course introduces the fundamentals of decision analysis: probabilistic modeling, preference modeling, the five rules of actional thought, decision tree construction and rollback, and the value of imperfect and perfect information. The second half of the course emphasizes the use of these techniques to improve strategic decision-making. Topics include building good decision models, assessing probabilities and ranges, computing risk profiles, judging the sensitivity of decisions to risk attitude and assessed probabilities, and computing the value of better information that improves decisions. The final exam is a take-home case exercise, which students complete using the tools and concepts taught in the course.

For more information about the course content, recent syllabus, and TCEs, please click here.



Competitive Strategy and Industrial Structure (MECN-441-0)
The course studies the determinants nature of competitive strategy in a variety of industry structures. The course considers how the structure of a firm's industry affects its strategic choices and performance. Topics include the dynamic aspects of pricing, entry and predation in concentrated industries, and product differentiation, product proliferation and innovation as competitive strategies.

Executive MBA
Analytical Approach to Uncertainty (DECSX-433-0)
Analytical Approach to Uncertainty introduces elementary probability theory as a tool for modeling uncertainty in business, with illustrations from decision theory and statistics.

Economics of Competition (MECNX-441-0)
Economics of Competition prepares students to diagnose the determinants of an industry’s structure and formulate rational, competitive strategies for coping with that structure.

Competitive Analysis of Commodity Industries (MECNX-442-0)
Competitive Analysis of Commodity Industries introduces students to state-of-the-art models for the analysis of commodity markets. These include powerful frameworks for forecasting price trends, incorporating real options and herd behaviors in pricing models, and economic drivers of public policies and regulations.

Doctoral
Foundations of Managerial Economics I: Game Theory (MECS-460-3)
Conflict and cooperation among rational decision makers in economic, political, and social systems. Games in extensive, normal, and characteristic function forms; Nash equilibrium and refinements; Bayesian games; infinitely repeated games; stochastic games; Nash bargaining solution; and cooperative games. Taught in a self-contained manner but closely coordinated with ECON 410-3. Prerequisites: Knowledge of probability theory and elementary linear algebra; simultaneous enrollment in ECON 410-3 or permission of the instructor.

Decision Theory (MECS-462-0)
Foundations of the theory of decision under uncertainty. Special focus on axiomatic derivatives of numerical representations of preferences, and on behavioral versus cognitive data as observational definitions of theoretical terms. Covers axiomatic derivations of utility in general, and the classical works of von Neumann and Morgenstern, Savage, Anscombe, and Aumann on expected utility. Additional topics may include applications and attitudes toward risk; paradoxesand violations of expected utility; generalizations and variations of expected utility-as well as alternative theories, with applications to economics.